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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
69.35% | 18.13% | 12.51% |
Both teams to score 50.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.83% | 40.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.46% | 62.54% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% | 10.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.88% | 34.12% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.92% | 43.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.64% | 79.36% |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 4.87% 4-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.28% Total : 69.34% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.13% | 0-1 @ 3.8% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |