Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
