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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
55.44% ( 0.57) | 21.94% ( 0.16) | 22.62% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -1.58) | 39.72% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.92% ( -1.67) | 62.08% ( 1.67) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.74% ( -0.36) | 14.26% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.96% ( -0.7) | 42.04% ( 0.7) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( -1.49) | 31.02% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( -1.78) | 67.33% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
2 | Ajax | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 79 | 29 | 50 | 62 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 57 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 38 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 30 |
13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 27 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 25 |
17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 16 |
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