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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.92%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.71% and a draw had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
17.71% ( 0.73) | 17.37% ( 0.3) | 64.92% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.35% ( -0.14) | 24.65% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.54% ( -0.19) | 44.45% ( 0.19) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.61) | 26.42% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.81) | 61.58% ( -0.81) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.66% ( -0.24) | 7.34% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.5% ( -0.61) | 26.5% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.34% Total : 17.71% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.88% Total : 64.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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