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Real Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Final
Jan 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo
Real Madrid
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid win the Spanish Super Cup courtesy of a 2-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao in Saudi Arabia.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in the Spanish Super Cup final against Athletic Bilbao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
20.07%21.89%58.04%
Both teams to score 55.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18%42.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77%65.23%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09%71.91%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52%14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54%42.46%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 20.07%
    Athletic Bilbao 58.04%
    Draw 21.89%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 5.38%
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-0 @ 2.78%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.07%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 5.19%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-3 @ 6.4%
0-3 @ 6.12%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.96%
2-4 @ 1.62%
1-5 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 58.04%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
87.0%
Draw
9.3%
Athletic Bilbao
3.6%
193
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid

Berenguer (14'), Garcia (79'), Martinez (80'), Marcelino (90')
Garcia (89')
Nacho (68')
Nacho (82'), Valverde (90+1')
Jan 14, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (73')
Vazquez (37'), Kroos (83')
Garcia (18', 38')
Capa (57'), Garcia (84'), Simon (88')
Dec 15, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 19
Real Madrid
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Kroos (45+1'), Benzema (74', 90+2')
Vazquez (42')
Capa (52')
Garcia (8'), Alvarez (80')
Garcia (13')
[nma]
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