MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 13:28:56| >> :600:228704:228704:
Jan 18, 2023 at 6pm UK at Estadio Municipal El MolinĂ³n
Sporting Gijon
0 - 4
Valencia
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cavani (10', 39'), Kluivert (21'), Lino (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Sporting Gijon and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-0 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Valencia (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

We said: Sporting Gijon 1-2 Valencia

Having managed to overcome Rayo Vallecano in the previous round, Sporting Gijon will have every confidence that they can cause another upset. However, we are backing Valencia to bounce back from their recent poor form to give their campaign the injection of encouragement that it requires. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawValencia
35.47% (0.7 0.7) 26.93% (-0.195 -0.2) 37.6% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 51.1% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.831 0.83)54.12% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.69 0.69)75.54% (-0.693 -0.69)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.84699999999999 0.85)29.15% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (1.032 1.03)65.08% (-1.035 -1.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.10199999999999 0.1)27.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.128 0.13)63.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 35.46%
    Valencia 37.59%
    Draw 26.93%
Sporting GijonDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.59%

How you voted: Sporting Gijon vs Valencia

Sporting Gijon
24.7%
Draw
18.3%
Valencia
57.0%
93
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2019 8.30pm
Round of 16
Valencia
3-0
Sporting Gijon
Mina (66', 76'), Torres (89')
Wass (21'), Diakhaby (41'), Coquelin (42')

Blackman (18'), Noblejas (51'), Durdevic (78')
Jan 8, 2019 8.30pm
Round of 16
Sporting Gijon
2-1
Valencia
Noblejas (34'), Blackman (79')
Jimenez (32')
Parejo (45')
Vezo (36')
Mar 11, 2017 12pm
Valencia
1-1
Sporting Gijon
El Haddadi (85')
Orellana (2'), Zaza (19'), Mangala (50')
Cop (60')
Cases (29'), Pereira (49'), Cop (76'), Cuellar (79'), Torres (91')
Oct 16, 2016 5.30pm
Sporting Gijon
1-2
Valencia
Castro (41')
Ait-Atmane (23'), Cop (45'), Mere (64'), Burgui (76'), Amorebieta (90')
Suarez (7', 65')
Bakkali (80')
Jan 31, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
8pm
Zapata Miralles
Norrie
9.30pm
Alcaraz
Jarry
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal23173351232854
2Manchester CityMan City24164460243652
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd24154541281349
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs2413384435942
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231011235152041
6Fulham2511683631539
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton22105739291035
8Liverpool22105738281035
9Brentford2381143730735
10Chelsea238782323031
11Aston Villa2384112838-1028
12Crystal Palace236892131-1026
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2367101838-2025
14Leicester CityLeicester2373133641-524
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2466121833-1524
16Everton2356121730-1321
17Bournemouth2356122144-2321
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2355131929-1020
19Leeds UnitedLeeds2347122839-1119
20Southampton2353151940-2118

Subscribe to our Newsletter


Match previews - Daily
Transfer Talk Daily
Morning Briefing (7am UTC)
Ultra close-up image of Kevin De Bruyne [NOT FOR USE IN ARTICLES]Get the latest transfer news, match previews and news direct to your inbox!