FC Utrecht 4-3 Ajax - Eredivisie - October 22, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

4 - 3

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Flamingo (44'), van der Hoorn (48'), Toornstra (71'), Fraulo (90')
Seuntjens (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hlynsson (52', 55'), Bergwijn (65' pen.)
Sosa (75'), Tahirovic (83')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Such has been Ajax's demise that you cannot back them to defeat any Dutch team with any great confidence. Nevertheless, we are predicting that the visitors will battle their way to a hard-fought triumph, potentially kick-starting their campaign in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
32.29% ( 1.48)	23.27% ( 0.65)	44.45% ( -2.13)

Both teams to score 62.96% (

-1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.59% (

-2.5)

38.41% (

2.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

-2.7)

60.7% (

2.69)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.35)

23.51% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.51)

57.55% (

0.5)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

-1.79)

17.69% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.67% (

-3.19)

48.33% (

3.19)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 32.29%

Ajax 44.45%

Draw 23.26%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 32.29%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.92% Total : 44.45%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht

7.1%

Draw

14.3%

Ajax

78.6%

Head to Head

May 21, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 33

3-1

Bergwijn (20'), Brobbey (68'), Klaassen (90+3')

Douvikas (49')
Douvikas (75')

Aug 28, 2022 11.15am

Gameweek 4

0-2

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')

Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

Jan 16, 2022 11.15am

Gameweek 17

0-3

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')

Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')

Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm

Gameweek 7

0-1

Gravenberch (50')

Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')

Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm

Gameweek 21

1-1

Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')

Gustafson (13' pen.)