Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.77% | 26.96% | 38.26% |
Both teams to score 50.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.69% | 54.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% | 75.69% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% | 29.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% | 65.73% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% | 27.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% | 63.1% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 38.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 65 |
5 | Villarreal | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 60 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 50 |
8 | GironaGirona | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
12 | Mallorca | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 44 |
13 | Almeria | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
16 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 35 |
18 | Getafe | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 35 |
19 | Espanyol | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 65 | -38 | 20 |
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