Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
