Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.