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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra
Swindon
2 - 2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Both Swindon and Crewe will fancy their chances of claiming their first League Two win of the new season on Saturday, but with little to separate these two sides, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
49.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)51.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)71.85%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.82%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.07%
    Draw 25.1%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
rhs 2.0
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Result
Draper
Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Stockport CountyStockport27166556272954
2Wrexham26157454361852
3Mansfield TownMansfield261311245212450
4BarrowBarrow271310440261449
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe27138650401047
6Notts County27134106052843
7MK Dons2512674132942
8Gillingham26132112331-841
9Harrogate TownHarrogate27124113435-140
10AFC Wimbledon26109741301139
11Crawley TownCrawley27123124345-239
12Accrington StanleyAccrington27115114138338
13Walsall26106104039136
14Bradford CityBradford2798103436-235
15Swindon TownSwindon2897125054-434
16Morecambe259793842-434
17Newport CountyNewport2797113945-634
18Tranmere RoversTranmere28103154342133
19Grimsby Town27610114049-928
20Doncaster RoversDoncaster2784153147-1628
21Salford City2776143548-1327
22Colchester UnitedColchester2874173855-1725
23Sutton UnitedSutton2647153054-2419
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2646162648-2218

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