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Swindon Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
Crewe Alexandra
Swindon
2 - 1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
31.65%26.83%41.53%
Both teams to score 50.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78%68.22%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18%25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21%60.79%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 31.65%
    Crewe Alexandra 41.52%
    Draw 26.82%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 7.52%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.52%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
1-2
Crewe
Doughty (63' pen.)
Dunne (34'), Woolfenden (95')
Porter (3', 45')
Green (58'), Wintle (62'), Porter (66'), Kirk (68'), Lowery (89'), Hunt (96')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
1-0
Swindon
Kirk (30')
Jones (47'), Ainley (80')

Nelson (12')
[nma]
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Result
Draper
Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418

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