Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queen of the South in this match.