Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-21s in this match.