Cadiz 1-0 Alaves - La Liga - August 14, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

1 - 0

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fede (7')
Hernandez (67'), Sobrino (75'), Fali (84')
Escalante (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sedlar (48'), Duarte (52')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Levante 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

There is not a huge difference when it comes to the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting them to be in a similar position in the table at the end of the season. This match has a draw written all over it, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Alaves
36.91% ( -0.62)	30.45% ( 0.31)	32.64% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 40.82% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.41% (

-0.88)

66.59% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.01% (

-0.6)

84.98% (

0.6)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

-0.87)

34.61% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0.94)

71.33% (

0.94)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42% (

-0.26)

37.57% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64% (

-0.26)

74.35% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 36.9%

Alaves 32.63%

Draw 30.44%

Cadiz	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.9%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44%	0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Alaves

Cadiz

51.2%

Draw

44.2%

Alaves

4.7%

Head to Head

May 22, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 38

0-1

Lozano (76')
Hernandez (27')

Oct 23, 2021 3.15pm

Gameweek 10

0-2

Joselu (6' pen., 90+1')
Miazga (27'), Navarro (67')

Mar 13, 2021 1pm

Gameweek 27

1-1

Joselu (36' pen.)
Pina (70'), Garcia (80')
Garcia (81')

Alex (84' pen.)
Salvi (34'), Perea (41'), Fali (74'), Saponjic (90+2')

Jan 10, 2021 3.15pm

Gameweek 18

3-1

Alex (15'), Lozano (56'), Negredo (68')
Fali (22'), Perea (82')

Joselu (23' pen.)
Pina (40'), Deyverson (44'), Tachi (45+2')
Tachi (50')