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Queen of the South
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Palmerston Park
Edinburgh City
QotS
4 - 0
Edinburgh
Murray (23' pen.), McKay (54'), Ruth (71'), Connelly (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fontaine (22')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Queen of the South and Edinburgh City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QotS 4-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 4-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawEdinburgh City
56.95% (9.897 9.9) 23.31% (-2.329 -2.33) 19.74% (-7.568 -7.57)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-1.504 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (2.289 2.29)49.32% (-2.29 -2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (2.026 2.03)71.37% (-2.026 -2.03)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (4.836 4.84)17.1% (-4.836 -4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (7.914 7.91)47.3% (-7.914 -7.91)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-5.691 -5.69)39.25% (5.69 5.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-5.757 -5.76)75.95% (5.757 5.76)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 56.94%
    Edinburgh City 19.74%
    Draw 23.3%
Queen of the SouthDrawEdinburgh City
1-0 @ 11.85% (0.69 0.69)
2-0 @ 10.46% (1.99 1.99)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.54 0.54)
3-0 @ 6.16% (1.879 1.88)
3-1 @ 5.76% (1.085 1.09)
4-0 @ 2.72% (1.096 1.1)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.771 0.77)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.221 0.22)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.468 0.47)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 56.94%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-1.11 -1.11)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.472 -0.47)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.28% (-1.761 -1.76)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-1.473 -1.47)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-1.453 -1.45)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.807 -0.81)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.411 -0.41)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.682 -0.68)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
QotS
4-1
Edinburgh
Paton (44', 85'), East (77'), Bange (80')
McKenna (56')
Shanley (90+3' pen.)
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
Group G
Edinburgh
0-4
QotS

Taylor (85')
Dykes (24'), Dobbie (26', 38'), Todd (34')
rhs 2.0
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