DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Schott Mainz
1 - 6
Dortmund
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Schott Mainz and Borussia Dortmund.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Schott Mainz had a probability of 1.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-4 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 0-5 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2%), while for a Schott Mainz win it was 2-1 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schott Mainz | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
1.8% ( -0.02) | 4.52% ( -0.02) | 93.67% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
