Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.