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National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brackley Town
2 - 0
Buxton
Stead (23', 85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Buxton.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-1 Buxton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawBuxton
40.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 28.74%30.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 44.75% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57%81.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)73.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 40.57%
    Buxton 30.67%
    Draw 28.73%
Brackley TownDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 40.57%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 10.94%
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.67%

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