Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle
5 - 1
Aston Villa
Reaction
Tyrone Mings stretchered off in Aston Villa season opener
Aston Villa suffer a major setback in their opening match of the new season as Tyrone Mings is stretchered off with a serious-looking knee injury.
Aug 12, 18:24
Aston Villa confirm lengthy Tyrone Mings injury absence
Aston Villa confirm that Tyrone Mings has suffered a "significant knee injury" that will require surgery and result in a lengthy spell on the sidelines.
Aug 14, 09:32
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United produce a scintillating attacking display to crush Aston Villa 5-1 at St James' Park, with Harvey Barnes and Sandro Tonali scoring on their debuts.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
53.2% ( -0.16) | 24.23% ( 0.06) | 22.57% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
