Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.