Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.