Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.