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Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Dover Athletic
1 - 5
Oxford City
Ajayi (5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Humphrey Ewers (19'), Sanderson (33'), McEachran (46'), Lolas (81', 90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Oxford City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 2-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawOxford City
22.86% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 24.08% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 53.06% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.067 -0.07)48.88% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)70.97% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)35.88% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (-0.058 -0.06)72.65% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.37% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)49.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 22.86%
    Oxford City 53.05%
    Draw 24.07%
Dover AthleticDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 6.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 22.86%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 53.05%

Head to Head
Nov 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City
3-1
Dover Athletic
Iaciofano (16'), Ashby (33'), Goodman (38' og.)
Nikaj (90')
rhs 2.0
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