Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.