Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.