Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.