Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
52.98% | 23.27% | 23.76% |
Both teams to score 56.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.52% | 44.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.15% | 66.86% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.23% | 16.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.29% | 46.71% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% | 32.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.13% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 29 | 43 | 73 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 53 |
6 | Aston Villa | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 50 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
8 | Liverpool | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 44 |
9 | Brentford | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 43 |
10 | Fulham | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Bournemouth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 33 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 29 |
17 | Everton | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 27 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 27 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 25 |
20 | Southampton | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
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