Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.