Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 11.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.