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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown
1 - 3
Pen-y-Bont
Oswell (88')
Sutton (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Venables (18', 34'), Evans (71' og.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Santa Coloma 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Thursday, July 20 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
32.91% (0.479 0.48) 26.92% (-0.111 -0.11) 40.17% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.71% (0.47000000000001 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.533 0.53)54.42% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (0.444 0.44)75.79% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.593 0.59)30.95% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (0.691 0.69)67.24% (-0.69500000000001 -0.7)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.046000000000006 0.05)26.57% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (0.061 0.06)61.78% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 32.91%
    Pen-y-Bont 40.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.16%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Newtown
Reffell (62'), Yorwerth (84')
Ismail (16')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
3-0
Newtown
Georgievsky (17'), Reynolds (41'), Wood (44')
Sep 17, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (58', 66')
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
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