Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont
0 - 2
Newtown
Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Newtown AFC.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 33 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | Pen-y-Bont | 33 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth Town | 32 | -7 | 40 |
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Newtown
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Connah's Quay Nomads | 33 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Newtown AFC | 32 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 32 | 6 | 49 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 33.63% | 25.54% | 40.83% |
| Both teams to score 55.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
