Burton Albion 0-3 Derby County - League One - August 12, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion

0 - 3

Derby

Seddon (2'), Maamria (3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Collins (6'), Hourihane (78'), Washington (84')
Mendez-Laing (45+2'), Hourihane (66'), Cashin (90+6')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, August 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Derby County

As neither crop of players are brimming with confidence right now, do not expect a classic at the Pirelli Stadium, where further injuries to Burton's already-depleted squad may prove crucial. In contrast, Derby are blessed with a few more options for change in the forward areas, and despite Burton's respectable stretch of home form, Warne's side can shut up shop after drawing first blood to belatedly get off the mark. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Derby County
19.03% ( -0.07)	23.42% ( 0.01)	57.55% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

-0.14)

50.72% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

-0.12)

72.62% (

0.12)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

-0.16)

40.84% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59% (

-0.14)

77.41% (

0.14)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

-0.03)

17.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

-0.05)

47.81% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 19.03%

Derby County 57.54%

Draw 23.42%

Burton Albion	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.03%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.54%

Head to Head

Apr 22, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 44

Derby

1-0

Burton Albion

McGoldrick (63' pen.)

Dec 10, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 21

Burton Albion

1-1

Derby

Adeboyejo (79')

Collins (23')

> Preview

Jul 20, 2019 3pm

Pre-season Friendlies

Burton Albion

2-5

Derby

Brayford (22'), Fraser (51')

Waghorn (16', 28', 37'), Bennett (47'), Bird (93')

Apr 14, 2018 3pm

Burton Albion

3-1

Derby

Boyce (24'), Murphy (44'), Akins (68')
Buxton (39'), Brayford (63'), Akpan (77')

Nugent (29')
Huddlestone (49')

Dec 2, 2017 3pm

Derby

1-0

Burton Albion

Russell (81')

Naylor (14'), Flanagan (65')

Form Guide

Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester

Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion

Burton Albion 0-1 Stoke

Burton Albion 2-2 West Brom

Burton Albion 0-0 MK Dons

Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge

Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal

Algeria

Asian Cup

South Korea

Iraq

Jordan

Atalanta

Galatasaray

Auxerre

Necaxa

Premier League 2 - Div 1

West Ham U21s

Reading U21s

Stoke U21s

NFL Playoffs

Rams

23-24

Lions

9.30pm

Steelers

Bills

Australian Open First Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kypson
Ruusuvuori

6 3 4 64
4 6 6 77

Result

Musetti
Bonzi

77 77 4 6
63 64 6 2

Result

Carballes Baena
Gaston

3 2 6 4
6 6 3 6

Result

Cobolli
Jarry

6 3 6 2 7
4 6 3 6 5

Result

Korda
Kopriva

6 6 2 4 6
1 4 6 6 2

Result

Wickmayer
Gracheva

3 4
6 6

Result

Noskova
Bouzkova

6 7
1 5

Result

Podoroska
Zidansek

6 6
1 0

Result

Day
Tomova

4 2
6 6

Result

Svitolina
Preston

6 6
2 2

Result

Yastremska
Vondrousova

6 6
1 2

Result

Hunter
Errani

6 6
4 3

Result

Atmane
Medvedev

7 2 4 0
5 6 6 1

(ret.)

Result

Karolina Schmiedlova
Gauff

3 0
6 6

Result

Mannarino
Wawrinka

6 3 5 6 6
4 6 7 3 0

Result

Bautista Agut
Shelton

2 62 5
6 77 7

Result

Duckworth
Van Assche

77 3 6 3 3
62 6 3 6 6

Result

Popyrin
Polmans

6 77 6
3 63 2

Result

Lestienne
Davidovich Fokina

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Juvan
Potapova

6 6
1 4

Result

Alexandrova
Siegemund

2 6 69
6 3 711

Result

Maria
Osorio

7 64 6
5 77 4

Result

Kostyuk
Liu

6 4 6
3 6 1

Result

Ferro
Kessler

6 3 2
3 6 6

Result

Shnaider
Paolini

3 4
6 6

Result

Masarova
Sasnovich

6 6
3 4

Result

Bergs
Tsitsipas

7 1 1 3
5 6 6 6

Result

Vukic
Thompson

6 63 2 6 4
3 77 6 3 6

Result

Shapovalov
Mensik

3 5 5
6 7 7

Result

Pavlyuchenkova
Vekic

6 6
4 4

Result

Eubanks
Daniel

6 6 6
4 2 3

Result

Murray
Martin Etcheverry

4 2 2
6 6 6

Result

Hanfmann
Monfils

4 3 5
6 6 7

Result

Marterer
Borges

5 63 2
7 77 6

Result

Altmaier
Khachanov

7 3 65 63
5 6 77 77

Result

Tabilo
Kovacevic

77 67 6 1 3
62 79 1 6 6

Result

Cristian
Siniakova

2 5
6 7

Result

Putintseva
Zakharova

6 0 3
2 6 6

Result

Frech
Saville

65 6 7
77 3 5

Result

Sherif
Mertens

2 0
6 2

(ret.)

Result

Humbert
Goffin

6 7 5 6
2 5 7 3

Result

Muller
Grenier

6 6 6 4 67
2 7 4 6 710

Result

Hijikata
Struff

6 3 2 77 68
3 6 6 62 710

Result

Kecmanovic
Watanuki

4 7 6 6
6 5 3 4

Result

Zhizhen
Coria

6 77 77
4 63 65

Result

Golubic
Kudermetova

77 1 6
64 6 1

Result

Kalinskaya
Volynets

6 3 6
3 6 2

Result

Fruhvirtova
Haddad Maia

2 6 2
6 3 6

Result

Kalinina
Rus

1 0
6 6

Result

Townsend
Badosa

1 3
6 6

Result

Andreeva
Pera

7 6
5 2

Result

Jasika
Hurkacz

64 4 2
77 6 6

Result

De Minaur
Raonic

66 6 2
78 3 0

(ret.)

Result

Jabeur
Starodubtseva

6 6
3 1

Result

Auger-Aliassime
Thiem

6 7 65 5 6
3 5 77 7 3

Result

Garcia
Osaka

6 77
4 62

> View full version> Yesterday's results

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Portsmouth	27	15	8	4	42	25	17	53
2	Peterborough United Peterborough	26	15	7	4	52	28	24	52
3	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	24	16	3	5	45	24	21	51
4	Derby County Derby	25	15	4	6	47	24	23	49
5	Oxford United Oxford Utd	26	15	4	7	45	30	15	49
6	Barnsley	25	13	7	5	48	29	19	46
7	Stevenage	26	13	7	6	38	25	13	46
8	Blackpool	27	12	6	9	44	32	12	42
9	Northampton Town Northampton	26	11	4	11	32	34	-2	37
10	Leyton Orient	26	9	8	9	28	31	-3	35
11	Bristol Rovers	25	9	7	9	35	35	0	34
12	Lincoln City Lincoln	27	8	9	10	30	30	0	33
13	Charlton Athletic Charlton	26	7	9	10	40	39	1	30
14	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	26	7	9	10	30	35	-5	30
15	Port Vale	25	8	6	11	28	38	-10	30
16	Cambridge United Cambridge	25	8	6	11	23	33	-10	30
17	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	27	9	3	15	17	37	-20	30
18	Wigan Athletic Wigan	26	10	6	10	36	31	5	28
19	Burton Albion	26	7	7	12	21	35	-14	28
20	Exeter City Exeter	26	7	5	14	18	39	-21	26
21	Reading	25	7	6	12	34	41	-7	23
22	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	25	6	5	14	19	34	-15	23
23	Carlisle United Carlisle	27	4	8	15	22	41	-19	20
24	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	26	4	6	16	23	47	-24	18
					> League One Full Table