Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.