Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.