Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 73.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lokomotiva Zagreb had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Lokomotiva Zagreb win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.