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Mar 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Elland Road
Leeds
0 - 3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Aston Villa

Leeds already look more assured defensively under Marsch and will possess a greater goal threat with Bamford back and raring to go, which spells optimism for the American coach ahead of his first home game. However, Villa produced a near-perfect performance against a previously in-form Southampton side and will be in no mood to halt their hot streak, so we still expect Gerrard's men to get over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
33.65%26.14%40.22%
Both teams to score 53.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92%51.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06%72.93%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2%28.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35%64.65%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99%25.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33%59.68%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 33.65%
    Aston Villa 40.22%
    Draw 26.13%
Leeds UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 6.92%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
25.7%
Draw
12.6%
Aston Villa
61.7%
269
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Aston Villa
0-3
Leeds

Mings (53'), Grealish (69')
Bamford (55', 67', 74')
Struijk (10'), Klich (90+1')
Apr 28, 2019 12pm
Leeds
1-1
Aston Villa
Klich (72')
Hernandez (14'), Cooper (21'), Klich (63'), Bamford (75')
Adomah (77')
Hourihane (75'), McGinn (80')
El Ghazi (75')
Dec 23, 2018 1.30pm
Aston Villa
2-3
Leeds
Abraham (5'), Hourihane (17')
Bolasie (7'), McGinn (81')
Clarke (56'), Jansson (61'), Roofe (90')
Klich (69'), Alioski (87'), Roofe (90')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal17142140142644
2Manchester CityMan City17123245162939
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1898132112135
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd1711242720735
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs18103537251233
6Fulham199463228431
7Liverpool1784534221228
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton178363225727
9Brentford186843028226
10Chelsea187472121025
11Aston Villa197482227-525
12Crystal Palace176471725-822
13Leicester CityLeicester1852112631-517
14Leeds UnitedLeeds184592633-717
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest184591334-2117
16Bournemouth1844101839-2116
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham1843111524-915
18Everton183691424-1015
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1835101127-1614
20Southampton1833121533-1812

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