Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Watford |
43.05% | 26.37% | 30.58% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% | 52.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% | 74.54% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% | 58.81% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% | 31.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 99 | 26 | 73 | 93 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 76 | 33 | 43 | 74 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 69 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 58 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 51 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 51 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 39 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 79 | -37 | 38 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 35 |
R | Watford | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 23 |
R | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 84 | -61 | 22 |
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