We said: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Watford's free-scoring attack may be blunted by a familiar Burnley backline this week, with Ranieri's side not exactly high on numbers or confidence at the minute.
The Clarets can also expect to end their barren run in front of goal against this leaky visiting rearguard, but they will likely only possess the firepower to claim one point rather than all three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
