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Premier League | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Liverpool logo
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Liverpool
Luiz (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Matip (6'), Mane (65')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool

Villa need no lessons in carving their way through the Liverpool high line, and the Lions' recent upturn in form and numerous ex-Reds aiming to get one over their former club could make this a banana skin for Klopp's side. The Reds boss is likely to tinker with his side ahead of the weekend's FA Cup final but will be aware that any more dropped points effectively ends their Premier League title hopes, and we have faith in Liverpool to eke out a narrow win against a Villa side whose defence is still far from watertight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
13.71% (-0.065 -0.06) 17.71% (0.0020000000000024 0) 68.58% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)35.09% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (-0.178 -0.18)57.1% (0.176 0.18)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (-0.194 -0.19)37.97% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (-0.188 -0.19)74.74% (0.187 0.19)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)9.31% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)31.41% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 13.71%
    Liverpool 68.58%
    Draw 17.71%
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.01 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 13.71%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.71%
0-2 @ 9.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 68.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Aston Villa
12.8%
Draw
9.8%
Liverpool
77.5%
400
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Liverpool
2-1
Aston Villa
Salah (57'), Alexander-Arnold (90+1')
Milner (65'), Robertson (74')
Watkins (43')
Konsa (25'), Luiz (49'), Targett (73'), Watkins (85')
Jan 8, 2021 7.45pm
Aston Villa
1-4
Liverpool
Barry (41')
Mane (4', 63'), Wijnaldum (60'), Salah (65')
Jones (44')
Oct 4, 2020 7.15pm
Aston Villa
7-2
Liverpool
Watkins (4', 22', 39'), McGinn (35'), Barkley (55'), Grealish (66', 75')
Luiz (46'), Nakamba (90+2')
Salah (33', 60')
van Dijk (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea351110143641-543
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14Bournemouth37116203770-3339
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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