Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
48.57% | 25.89% | 25.53% |
Both teams to score 49.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% | 22.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% | 55.56% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.8% | 36.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.02% | 72.98% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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