Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
68.82% | 17.81% | 13.37% |
Both teams to score 54.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.61% | 36.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.47% | 58.54% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.41% | 9.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.91% | 32.09% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% | 39.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% | 76.01% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.84% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 4.74% 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.53% 5-0 @ 2.22% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.82% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.81% | 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-1 @ 3.52% 0-2 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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