Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
15.58% | 21.09% | 63.34% |
Both teams to score 49.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.35% | 42.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.01% | 79% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% | 14.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% | 41.67% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.12% 2-1 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.18% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 0-2 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-4 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.34% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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