Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 12, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Do Vizela
Vizela
1 - 3
Porto
We said: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Vizela have enjoyed a solid cup run this season, scoring five goals and keeping clean sheets in each of their three wins so far. However, they face the stern test of going up against a rampant Porto side who have won eight of their last nine games in all competitions. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are tipping Porto to comfortably wrap up the win within 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
| 12.14% | 18.77% | 69.09% |
| Both teams to score 47.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
