Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
28.65% | 27.37% | 43.97% |
Both teams to score 47.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.45% | 57.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.67% | 78.33% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% | 35.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% | 72.43% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% | 26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% | 61.02% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
7 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
> Full Version |