Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
58.99% | 23.21% | 17.79% |
Both teams to score 47.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.38% | 51.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% | 73.41% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% | 17.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.53% | 47.47% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.19% | 42.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% | 79.13% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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