Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
