African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Libya
3 - 1
Ethiopia
Abu Arqoub (44'), Abbasi (50'), Saltou (78')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Panomo (39' pen.)
Panomo (59')
Panomo (59')
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Libya and Ethiopia.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Libya had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Ethiopia |
34.19% ( -1.94) | 28.45% ( -0.16) | 37.35% ( 2.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
