The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 37.94% | 24.03% | 38.03% |
| Both teams to score 61.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
