Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Mainz 05.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.